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Confrontations between India, China may become regular

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New Delhi:  Confrontations between India and China will likely become more regular as the two sides consolidate their Line of Actual Control in the western sector until there is no more ambiguity regarding their actual positions, according to an article published by the Observer Research Foundation.
Author Yun Sun in his article ‘Confrontation in the Himalayas: China’s growing risk tolerance ‘ says that although China might use an overwhelming capacity to secure victory against India, the victory will not “ help to alleviate China’s key security challenges in the Pacific ” because China gives prefers to avoid a two-front war in the West Pacific and South Asia.
Yun Sun opines that though China’s assessment of India as the secondary threat and South Asia as its secondary theater is unlikely to change in the future, “ the events this year have forced China to come face-to-face with a long list of factors in a real scenario of a war with India, including the heightened and sustained escalation of tension, the growing possibility of a real conflict with India and the military planning/mobilization/preparation necessitated by it, as well as the Indian willingness to let the border issue spill over to the bilateral economic and trade relations .” “The two-front war scenario has forced China to face the reality that any of its action on Taiwan could trigger India’s “ adventurism ” along the disputed border, just like China believes that India’s border movement capitalized on China’s weaknesses and distraction due to the COVID-19,” Sun added.
Despite the joint stated commitment to de-escalate the tensions by India and China in Moscow on September 10, the disengagement has not yet been achieved.
According to the author, there are at least three options being discussed in China for its next steps.

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